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结合实地考察,在产能核算的基础上,建立了以温饱型、小康型、富裕型3种消费水平为标准的耕地资源人口承载力测算方法,并依此方法,科学地测算了福建省2010年、2020年耕地理论、可实现、实际人口承载潜力。结果表明,2010年福建省耕地理论产能可满足该省温饱型、小康型、富裕型粮食消费需求,但可实现、实际产能却均未能达到富裕型人口粮食消费需求;2020年福建省耕地理论人口承载力尚具有一定潜力,但可实现、实际人口承载力均已超载。
On the basis of productivity calculation, combined with the field investigation, a method of calculating the population carrying capacity of cultivated land resources based on three kinds of consumption levels of subsistence, well-off and rich is established. According to this method, , 2020 Cultivated Land Theory, realizable, real population carrying potential. The results showed that the theoretical productivity of arable land in Fujian Province could meet the demand of subsistence-type, well-to-do type and rich type of grain consumption in Fujian Province in 2010, but the actual production capacity failed to meet the grain consumption demand of the affluent population. In 2020, The carrying capacity of the population still has some potential but it can be realized that the actual population carrying capacity has been overloaded.