论文部分内容阅读
笔者按照世界银行2006年人均GNI分组标准选取了32个国家为样本,在SITC Rev2的3位码分类水平下,采用杜修立、王维国对Hausmann等人修正后的方法,测算了1996—2009年各国出口品技术含量,结果发现,中国出口品技术含量与英国、德国等高收入国家差距较大,与墨西哥、阿根廷等上中等收入国家的差距明显,不敌金砖国家中的南非,低于东盟的新加坡,在可观测样本中仅居于下中等水平。鉴于此,笔者认为中国是外贸大国但绝非外贸强国。未来中国由贸易大国迈向贸易强国的过程中,在高技术领域会受到高收入国家的阻击;在中、低技术领域,金砖国家和东盟也是我国的竞争对象。
According to the 2006 World Bank per capita GNI grouping criteria, 32 countries were selected as samples. According to the modified method of Hausmann et al. By Du Xiuli and Wang Weiguo at the 3-digit code classification level of SITC Rev2, The results show that the technical content of China’s exports is quite different from that of high-income countries such as Britain and Germany. The gap with upper-middle-income countries such as Mexico and Argentina is notable, which lags behind that of South Africa among BRICS countries and below that of ASEAN In Singapore, only moderately lower levels are observed in observable samples. In view of this, I believe that China is a foreign trade power but it is by no means a foreign power. In the future, when China moves from a major trading nation to a trading power, it will be blocked by high-income countries in the field of high-tech industries. In the middle and low-tech areas, the BRICs and ASEANs are also the targets of our country’s competition.