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目的分析山东省1970年-2005年肝癌死亡率的时间变化趋势。方法利用1970年-2005年期间的4次全死因调查资料,计算肝癌死亡率和世界人口标化死亡率,Jo inpo in t回归软件分析肝癌死亡率的升降速率及长时期的变化特征。结果山东省肝癌死亡率在1970年-1974年期间的年均增长速率为9.7%,1974年-1992年为2.6%;1992年后年均增长速率减慢,为0.1%。结论山东省1970年-2005年肝癌死亡率呈上升趋势,前期上升速率比较高。40~59岁人群肝癌高发。
Objective To analyze the time trend of liver cancer mortality in Shandong Province from 1970 to 2005. Methods The data of four all-cause surveys from 1970 to 2005 were used to calculate the mortality rate of liver cancer and the world’s population standardized mortality rate. The rate of rise and fall of liver cancer mortality and long-term changes were analyzed by using Joinpo in t regression software. Results The mortality rate of liver cancer in Shandong Province was 9.7% in 1970-1974, 2.6% in 1974-1922, and 0.1% in 1992. Conclusion The mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma in Shandong Province increased from 1970 to 2005, and the rate of increase in the previous period was relatively high. 40 to 59-year-old population with high incidence of liver cancer.