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根据阿根廷民粹主义党派当权的政治背景,通过综合分析各种经济现象的相互作用,发现其中的恶性循环链条:在民粹主义政权下,执行贸易保护主义,严重制约了该国经济增长;提高贸易壁垒,导致国内市场没有竞争力,进而影响劳动力市场,社会矛盾不断恶化;政府为提高社会保障水平,以缓解穷人的生存压力,导致债务不断升高;为缓解债务压力,一方面提高税率,另一方面成立货币发行局印钞票,导致通货膨胀居高不下,影响了企业的实际贷款利率。反过来,又导致国内不发达的工业化水平,使经济进入恶性循环中。
According to the political background of Argentina populist parties’ power, through the comprehensive analysis of the interaction of various economic phenomena, we can find the vicious cycle chain: Under the populist regime, the implementation of trade protectionism severely restricts the economic growth of the country; , Resulting in the domestic market is not competitive, thereby affecting the labor market, social conflicts continue to worsen; the government to raise the level of social security to alleviate the pressure of the poor to survive, leading to rising debt; to ease the debt pressure, on the one hand raise the tax rate, the other As for the establishment of a currency banknote printing banknote, inflation has been high, affecting the actual lending rate of the enterprise. In turn, it has also led to the underdevelopment of the industrialized country and brought the economy into a vicious circle.