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在推进我国工业化道路的进程中,农村劳动力转移就业对经济增长产生了十分重要的作用。本文在一定程度上克服了现有生产率分解法可能缺乏的全面性,综合考虑了物质资本和人力资本积累、外商直接投资、进出口贸易、政府支出等变量对经济增长的作用,运用1978-2011年的数据,估算了农村劳动力转移对经济增长的效应。研究结果发现:在控制各变量之后,农村劳动力转移就业对经济增长的效应为25%。应继续挖掘农村劳动力转移就业对经济增长的潜力,发挥农村劳动力转移就业对经济增长效应的优势。
In the process of advancing China’s industrialization, the transfer of rural labor forces has played a very important role in economic growth. To a certain extent, this paper overcomes the lack of comprehensiveness of the existing productivity decomposition method and takes into consideration the effect of variables such as material capital and human capital accumulation, foreign direct investment, import and export trade and government expenditure on economic growth. By using 1978-2011 Year data to estimate the effect of rural labor transfer on economic growth. The results show that: after controlling for each variable, the effect of rural labor transfer and employment on economic growth is 25%. The potential of rural labor transfer and employment for economic growth should continue to be tapped and the advantages of rural labor transfer and employment on economic growth should be given full play.