论文部分内容阅读
[目的 /意义]对科研产出高峰期研究现状进行剖析,分析存在的问题,提出可改进方向及研究重点。[方法/过程]总结现有科研创造峰值和科研创造峰值年龄概念,进一步提出科研产出高峰期的概念;对几种研究模型,如威布尔分布模型、对数正态分布模型、两步认知模型等进行剖析,总结优缺点。[结果 /结论]当前研究模型在数据统计及处理误差和科研产出衡量指标的选取方面存在严重不足。未来研究思路和方向是科研产出衡量指标构建、数据处理误差克服、产出影响因素作用机理研究。
[Purpose / Significance] To analyze the research status quo at the peak of research output, analyze the existing problems, and put forward the direction of improvement and research focus. [Methods / Processes] Summarize existing research to create peak value and research to create the concept of peak age, further put forward the concept of peak output of scientific research; several research models, such as Weibull distribution model, lognormal distribution model, Knowledge model to analyze, summarize the advantages and disadvantages. [Results / Conclusions] The current research model has serious deficiencies in the selection of data statistics and processing errors and research outputs. Future research ideas and directions are the measurement of scientific research outputs to build, data processing error to overcome, the output impact of the mechanism of action.