Sanctions for Negotiation

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  The UN Security Council (UNSC) unani- mously approved Resolution 2270 on the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), or North Korea, on March 2 at the UN headquarters in New York City.
  The resolution denounces the DPRK’s recent nuclear test and satellite launch which was widely believed to have used ballistic missile technology banned by previous UN sanctions.
  Will the new sanctions put a halt to the DPRK’s ambitions to develop nuclear weapons?
  Shi Yongming, a researcher of the East Asia region with the China Institute of International Studies, told Beijing Review that the new resolution should be regarded as an international effort toward a political settlement to the issue.
  “The nuclear test that North Korea conducted on January 6 was unwise and reckless,” Shi said. “In theory, new international sanctions will add more pressure on the North Korean economy. But the Security Council has taken the humanitarian perspective into consideration. So sanctions won’t affect people’s livelihoods in North Korea.”
  With regard to the possible reactions that North Korea might take, Shi believes that“if the country takes retaliatory measures against the UN resolution, it will become more isolated from the rest of the world.”
  North Korea has conducted four nuclear tests since 2006. The first three tests were defensive, Shi said, while the last one was clearly offensive, which sent a signal of danger to the world.
  If North Korea makes more progress in the miniaturization and the launching capabilities of its nuclear warheads, it will seriously affect the balance of security in the Korean Peninsula and the Northeast Asia region, which would be unforgivable, Shi said.
  As to what extent the new resolution is likely to help impede North Korea’s nuclear program, he said that “the new resolution will mainly have an effect on a political level. It is designed to create conditions for a political settlement.”
  Josef Gregory Mahoney, Professor of Politics and Director of the International Graduate Program in Politics at the East China Normal University, told Beijing Review that “given North Korea’s history to date, it is very doubtful that sanctions will produce any real or lasting results with respect to denuclearization.”
  “Presently, the DPRK Government appears to be heavily invested in [its] nuclear program, both politically and economically,” Mahoney said. “At this point, [North Korea’s] real political costs and benefits seem to skew in the direction of continuing to develop nuclear weapons and their delivery systems.”   In fact, the United States is vital in solving the issue. If the six parties cannot take concerted steps to return to the negotiating table, the new sanctions might only generate adverse effects and consequently make North Korea stick even harder to its nuclear program, according to Shi’s analysis.
  Therefore, the United States must adjust its policy on North Korea and take practical actions to solve the nuclear issue through political efforts, Shi said.
  In Mahoney’s view, however, the North Korean nuclear issue now represents a strategic opening for the United States in its ongoing effort to “contain” China.
  “Consequently, no one can rely on the United States to join such efforts in good faith,”Mahoney said.
  China’s stance on the Korean Peninsula nuclear issue has been consistent, and China’s support for the new resolution embodies the country’s contribution to safeguarding international peace and security, Shi added.
  From another point of view, China’s stance in approving the new resolution could help the DPRK realize the real nature of the situation it is embroiled in. That is to say, that there is no way out for the country through the continued development of nuclear weapons. According to Shi, it must return to the right track through negotiations.
  After the UNSC approved the sanctions, Chinese Ambassador to the UN, Liu Jieyi said that China has expressed its explicit opposition to these acts.
  “China has always insisted on the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, insisted on the maintenance of peace and stability in the region, and insisted on resolving problems through dialogue and consultations,”Liu said.
  But Liu emphasized that sanctions are not an end in themselves, and that the Security Council resolutions cannot fundamentally solve the nuclear dilemma in the region.
  “Today’s resolution should be a new starting point and a paving stone for the political settlement of the nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula,” said Liu at the UNSC meeting.
  Liu stated that China urges all parties concerned to push forward with negotiations designed to advance denuclearization efforts.
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