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一、对当前世界经济形势的总体判断今年以来,世界经济继续复苏,但增速放缓。据IMF预测,今年全球经济预计增长2.9%,略低于去年的3.2%。全球经济增长动力出现新特点。发达国家复苏势头逐步增强。美国尽管受到财政政策紧缩和退出量化宽松预期的干扰,但在私人消费和企业投资的推动下实现了低速增长。欧元区在宽松货币政策作用下市场信心回升,下行风险减弱,经济逐渐触底企稳。日本经济在极度宽松的财政货币政策刺激下较快增长,通货紧缩逐步缓解。新兴市场国家面临结构
I. Overall Judgment on the Current World Economic Situation Since the beginning of this year, the world economy has continued to recover but its growth rate has slowed down. According to the IMF, the global economy is forecast to grow by 2.9% this year, down from 3.2% last year. New Features of Global Economic Growth. The recovery in developed countries has been gradually strengthened. Despite being disrupted by the expected fiscal tightening and exit from quantitative easing, the United States achieved a slow growth driven by private consumption and corporate investment. With the loosening of monetary policy, market sentiment rebounded in the euro area and downside risks weakened. The economy gradually bottomed out and stabilized. Japan’s economy, stimulated by the extremely loose fiscal and monetary policies, grew rapidly and deflation was gradually eased. Emerging market countries face a structure