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本文基于2004年-2013年的数据,运用灰色关联分析模型分析了我国服务贸易出口与其影响因素之间的关系。结果表明:服务业劳动生产率和服务业规模总量影响最大,货物贸易额、外商投资额、财政用于科技支出依次递减,而服务业的外贸依存度影响最小。并且在我国服务业子行业中,对出口影响最大的是运输服务和旅游服务等资本和劳动密集型行业,知识密集型行业影响较小。
Based on the data from 2004 to 2013, this paper analyzes the relationship between the export of China’s service trade and its influencing factors by using the gray relational analysis model. The results show that the labor productivity of service industry and the total scale of service industry have the greatest impact. The trade volume of goods, the amount of foreign investment and the expenditure of science and technology decrease in turn, while the dependence of service trade on foreign trade has the least impact. And in China’s service sub-sectors, the most influential on exports are capital and labor-intensive industries such as transportation services and tourism services, and the knowledge-intensive industries have less impact.