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本文着重依据四十年来战略导弹的发展史,从中摸索出一些规律,利用趋势外推的原则,进行定性预测。第二次世界大战后,美苏两国争先恐后地发展战略核武器,其中战略地地导弹的发展摆在首要地位。美国先后研制成功的战略地地导弹不下九种;目前正在研制的新一代战略地地导弹是“矮人”小型机动洲际导弹。苏联先后研制成功的战略地地导弹有十六种;目前正在进行飞行试验的新一代战略地地导弹有SS-X-24和SS-X-25两种固体洲际弹道导弹。纵观四十年来战略导弹的发展史,从中可以摸索出一些规律。分析研究这些规律,对于掌握战略导弹的发展趋势具有重要意义,下面就其中某些规律做些简单的分析:
Based on the history of the development of strategic missiles in the past 40 years, this article explores some laws and makes use of the principle of trend extrapolation to make qualitative forecasts. After the Second World War, the United States and the Soviet Union vied with each other to develop strategic nuclear weapons, of which the development of missiles strategically placed the top priority. The United States has succeeded in developing strategic missiles of no fewer than nine kinds. The new generation of strategic missiles currently under development is the “dwarven” small mobile intercontinental missile. Sixteen missiles have been successfully developed by the Soviet Union in succession. The next generation of strategic missiles currently undergoing flight tests are SS-X-24 and SS-X-25 two solid ICBMs. Throughout the history of the development of strategic missiles in the past 40 years, some laws can be explored. Analyzing and studying these laws and regulations is of great significance for mastering the development trend of strategic missiles. Here is a brief analysis of some of these laws: