论文部分内容阅读
本文构建了一个基于比较优势演化的产业升级模型,从产业升级的角度解释了“中等收入陷阱”的形成机理,分析了经济体进入中等收入阶段后容易陷入陷阱的原因。本文的主要结论是:进入中等收入水平后由于成本上升及创新的难度等原因,经济体容易发生产业升级断档,这是经济出现增长停滞甚至衰退的根本原因。此外,本文得出了产业升级发生的必要条件,必要条件的满足使得企业实现产业升级跳跃距离的临界值变小,这增加了产业升级断档的风险,进而增加了经济增长停滞、陷入“中等收入陷阱”的可能性。
This paper constructs a industrial upgrading model based on the evolution of comparative advantage, explains the formation mechanism of “middle income trap ” from the perspective of industrial upgrading, and analyzes the reasons why an economy is apt to fall into a trap after it enters the middle income stage. The main conclusion of this paper is: In the mid-income level, due to rising costs and the difficulty of innovation and other reasons, the economy is prone to industrial upgrading and opening up, which is the root cause of economic stagnation or even recession. In addition, this paper concludes the necessary conditions for industrial upgrading. The fulfillment of the necessary conditions makes the threshold for enterprises to realize the industrial upgrading jump smaller, which increases the risk of upgrading the industry and further increases the stagnation of economic growth and falls into Income trap "the possibility.