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天山北坡经济带是新疆经济最发达的地区,承载着转新疆变经济发展方式和调整新疆产业结构的重要使命,目前其发展规划已上升为国家战略。此文在应用“三轴图”法研究新疆天山北坡经济带产业结构调整的变化轨迹及其区域差异的基础上,利用SSM模型比较分析天山北坡经济带的产业结构,认为天山北坡经济带产业结构按右旋模式演变;乌鲁木齐处于产业结构发展的高级阶段,但第三产业竞争力趋于下降;乌苏、昌吉的第一产业基础较好且竞争力强;其第二产业均为具有部门优势的增长性产业,以奎屯和阜康为突出。依据分析结果结合实际情况提出天山北坡经济带的产业结构调整应遵循自身产业结构演变规律,并结合经济带中各城市的资源承载力水平和产业竞争优势。
The economic belt on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains is the most economically developed area in Xinjiang. It carries an important mission of transforming Xinjiang’s economic development mode and adjusting its industrial structure. At present, its development plan has risen to a national strategy. Based on the application of the “three-axis diagram” method to study the change of industrial structure adjustment and the regional differences in the economic belt along the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains in Xinjiang, the paper uses the SSM model to compare and analyze the industrial structure of the economic belt along the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains. The industrial structure of the slope economic belt evolves in a right-handed manner. Urumqi is in an advanced stage of industrial structure development but the competitiveness of the tertiary industry tends to decline. The first industrial base of Wusu and Changji is relatively strong and competitive. Its secondary industry All are growth industries with departmental advantages, with Kuitun and Fukang being prominent. According to the results of the analysis and the actual situation, it is proposed that the industrial structure adjustment in the economic belt on the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain should follow the law of evolution of its own industrial structure, combined with the resource carrying capacity of each city in the economic belt and the industrial competitive advantage.