现代武器装备采用了大量的新技术、新工艺、新材料,在提高综合效能的同时,也大大提高了研制过程的技术风险。武器装备研制项目的技术风险是指在装备研制的初期,采用的新技术、新工艺、新材料在规定的时间内、预定的资源条件下达到规定的技术需求的风险。技术风险在装备的研制过程中几乎始终存在,并通过性能风险、费用风险和进度风险等风险形式表现出来。其中,性能风险是指在预定的资源条件下,系统从原有设计水平向较高的性能设计水平演进 Modern weapons and equipment using a large number of new technologies, new processes, new materials, while improving overall efficiency, but also greatly enhance the technological risks of the development process. The technical risk of weapon equipment development project refers to the risk that the new technology, new technology and new material adopted in the initial stage of equipment development will meet the stipulated technical requirements within the stipulated time and predetermined resource conditions. Technical risk almost always exists in the development of equipment, and through the performance risk, cost risk and schedule risk and other forms of risk manifested. Among them, the performance risk refers to the predetermined resource conditions, the system evolves from the original design level to a higher level of performance design