虽然经济呈现筑底迹象,但还未迎来向上的拐点,总体上看2012年的经济难有V型反转,更可能的是温和的U型复苏二季度经济有望探底今年的国家宏观政策将围绕“稳增长”展开,中央继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策。财政政策更加强调优化支出结构、结构性减税和税制改 Although the economy has bottomed signs, but has not yet ushered in an upward turning point, the overall economy in 2012 is unlikely to V-shaped reversal is more likely to be a mild U-shaped recovery in the second quarter economy is expected to bottom out this year’s national macroeconomic policy We will focus on “steady growth” and the Central Government will continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy. Fiscal policy more emphasis on optimizing the expenditure structure, structural tax cuts and tax reform