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一季度全球经济开局平淡,总体上未能摆脱低增长的“新平庸”状态和主要经济体增长“大分化”的趋势,并孕育着诸多新风险和新挑战。全球经济复苏不均就在中国经济数据发布的前一天,4月14日,国际货币基金组织发布《世界经济展望》报告指出,当前全球经济复苏不均,发达经济体增长愈发强劲,新兴市场和发展中经济体增长放缓。报告指出,发达经济体的经济增长率今明两年将上升到2.4%左右,相比2014年的改善幅度约为0.6个百分点。新兴市场和发展中经济体经济增长预计将从2014年的4.6%放缓到2015年的4.3%,2016年逐步加快到4.7%。其中,中国经济增长在2015年和2016年将分别增长6.8%、6.3%,与今年1月的预测相同。
In the first quarter, the global economy started flat. Overall, it failed to get out of the “new mediocre” state of low growth and the trend of “major economic growth” and “majorization” of the major economies and gave birth to many new risks and new challenges. Uneven Global Economic Recovery Just before the release of China’s economic data, on April 14, the IMF released the “World Economic Outlook” report that pointed out that the current global economic recovery is uneven, growth in developed economies is growing stronger, and that in emerging markets And slower growth in developing economies. The report points out that the economic growth rate in advanced economies will rise to about 2.4% in the next two years, compared with an improvement of 0.6 percentage points in 2014. Economic growth in emerging markets and developing economies is expected to slow from 4.6% in 2014 to 4.3% in 2015 and to 4.7% in 2016 gradually. Among them, China’s economic growth in 2015 and 2016 will have increased by 6.8% and 6.3% respectively, the same as the forecast in January this year.