不确定环境下城市供水系统风险评估

来源 :第十三届中国不确定系统年会暨第九届中国智能计算大会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：plateau_t

【摘要】

：

城市供水系统是保证人类生存和发展的重要基础设施.近年来,频繁出现的供水突发事件严重威胁着供水安全.对威胁城市供水的不确定因素进行风险分析,建立应急供水体系,已经成为人类关注的焦点.本文基于突发事件的突发性、不确定性等特点,在缺乏足够历史数据的情况下,结合专家经验数据,采用不确定测度构建城市供水系统风险评估体系.最后通过案例验证模型的有效性.

【作者】

：

师红花王小胜

【机构】

：

河北工程大学,经济管理学院,邯郸,056038,中国河北工程大学,理学院,邯郸,056038,中

【出处】

：

第十三届中国不确定系统年会暨第九届中国智能计算大会

【发表日期】

：

2015年12期

【关键词】

：

城市供水系统风险评估不确定测度安全管理

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不确定环境下城市供水系统风险评估

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