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碳关税的全面实施会通过净出口渠道和长期资本流入渠道影响到我国的国际收支:其中,经常账户收支差额减少有限,不会改变其顺差格局;资本金融账户收支差额会大幅度变化,其顺差地位可能发生扭转。因此,碳关税实施有利于我国当前国际收支“双顺差”的调节;但为了避免碳关税对资本金融账户的过度冲击,我们在当前应一方面积极引导FDI投资领域的转向,提升外资质量;另一方面积极推动加工贸易的技术升级,推动生产方式的“绿色化”转型。
The full implementation of carbon tariffs will affect China’s balance of payments through both net export channels and long-term capital inflows: the current account balance will decrease only marginally and will not change its surplus pattern; the balance of payments in capital and financial accounts will change drastically , Its surplus position may be reversed. Therefore, the implementation of carbon tariffs is conducive to China’s current balance of payments “double surplus ” regulation; but in order to avoid the excessive impact of carbon tariffs on the capital account, we should actively guide the FDI investment in the current direction of the turn, increase foreign investment On the other hand, we should actively promote the technological upgrading of processing trade and promote the “green” transformation of the mode of production.