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通过应用最大滴港法、有序聚类法和地震活动过程、地震相关性的分析，论证了华东地区正处于1971年以来的地震活动幕后期，具有发生6级以上地震的可能。1996年11月9日南黄海6．1级地震的发生与这一分析基本相符。作者还就地震大形势分析的有关科学问题进行了讨论。
Through the application of the maximum drip method, the method of orderly clustering, the seismic activity process and the correlation of earthquakes, it is demonstrated that the earthquakes in East China are in the late stage of seismogenic activity since 1971, with the possibility of earthquakes of magnitude 6 or above. The occurrence of the M = 6.1 South Yellow Sea earthquake on November 9, 1996 basically agrees with this analysis. The author also discussed the scientific issues related to the earthquake situation analysis.