自去年下半年国际油价下跌以来,原油运输市场一枝独秀。在德鲁里集团董事总经理Arjun Batra看来,预计至2020年,油价将会一直低于65美元/桶。这将会促进经济增长以及对原油的需求,美国进口将会适度减少,非洲和南美出口将会进一步深入亚洲市场;反映在原油运输市场里,2014—2020年,海运原油贸易量预计以2.5%的年复合增长率增长,原油油轮吨—海里需求量的年复合增长率预计为2.7%。Arjun Batra表示,一旦油价回升至85美元/桶,将会对亚洲石油需求国产生额外压力,与此同时,高油价将会促使油砂和 Since the fall of international oil prices in the second half of last year, the crude oil transportation market has outshined itself. Arjun Batra, managing director of Drury Group, sees the price of oil remain below $ 65 a barrel by 2020. This will promote economic growth and the demand for crude oil. The United States imports will be modestly reduced and the exports of Africa and South America will further penetrate the Asian market. Reflected in the crude oil transportation market, the trade volume of marine crude oil is expected to be 2.5% in 2014-2020, CAGR of CAGR, with a CAGR of 2.7% for crude oil tanker tonne-nautical miles requirement. Arjun Batra said once oil prices rise back to $ 85 a barrel, there will be additional pressure on Asian oil-demand nations, while high oil prices will push oil sands and