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2011年铁路行业发生了两件重要事件:铁道部管理层变动和高铁追尾事故。管理层变动处在投资增速转折的关键点,是去年全年行业发展的核心因素,而高铁追尾事故只是加速了投资下滑。2012年全国铁路基本建设投资为4000亿元,环比下滑约15%,但资金紧张仍将是制约铁路发展的主要矛盾。复制公路“黄金十年”的关键是铁路改革进程,从不同层面提高铁路局经营和盈利能力,实现经营实体自我滚动发展,铁道部才能改变政企合一现状。追尾事故调查报告发布令铁路行业利空出尽。如果2013年铁道部实行大部制改革,2012年将是铁道部改革新起点。
Two major events occurred in the railway industry in 2011: changes in the management of the Ministry of Railways and rear-end accidents caused by high-speed rail. The key point at which management changes are at a turning point in investment growth is the core factor of the industry’s development last year. The HSR rear-end accident only accelerated the decline in investment. In 2012, the national railway infrastructure investment was 400 billion yuan, down 15% MoM. However, the capital shortage will still be the main contradiction that will restrict the development of the railway. The Key to Duplicating the Road “Golden Decade” is the railway reform process. From different levels, it is possible to improve the operation and profitability of the railway administration and realize the self-rolling development of business entities so that the Ministry of Railways can change the status quo of the unity of government and enterprises. Rear-end accident investigation report issued so bad the railway industry. If the Ministry of Railways implemented a major part of the reform in 2013, 2012 will be a new starting point for the reform of the Ministry of Railways.