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今年4月份统计数据的公布,使我们倒吸了一口凉气。当月工业增加值增长速度同比下降到9.3%,如果后两个月没有明显回升,按照GDP增速一般低于工业增加值增速4个百分点左右的规律,二季度GDP增速有可能跌到7.5%以下。印证这一判断的数据,还有全社会用电量,4月份比3月份下降2.2%,正常情况下应当有较大的增长;同期,钢材产量下降2.7%,乙烯产量下降6.2%,汽车产量下降13.2%,汽油产量下降1.3%;出口同比增长4.9%,低于正常年份20个百分点以上。1-4
The statistics released in April this year, so that we breathe a breather. The rate of growth of industrial added value dropped to 9.3% as compared with the same period of last year. If there is no obvious recovery in the last two months, GDP growth may fall to 7.5 in the second quarter according to the law that the growth rate of GDP is generally lower than the growth rate of industrial added value by 4% %the following. The data confirming this judgment, as well as the electricity consumption of the whole society, decreased by 2.2% in April from March and should be greatly increased under normal circumstances. In the same period, the output of steel products decreased by 2.7%, the output of ethylene decreased by 6.2% and the output of automobiles A decrease of 13.2% and a drop of 1.3% in gasoline output. Exports increased by 4.9% over the same period of previous year, lower than the normal figure of 20%. 1-4