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基于江西省30个县抽样调查228个有效样本的数据,对林权改革后农户林地流转行为的影响因素进行实证分析,利用logistic模型对林地流转行为与各个自变量进行了回归。结果表明:家庭劳动力数量、林地承包年限、林业经营风险、林改前的经营方式、家庭收入主要来源、林业投入和林业收入增加程度存在不同程度和不同方向上影响农户对林地流转的选择行为。
Based on the data of 228 valid samples from 30 counties in Jiangxi Province, the paper analyzes the influencing factors of farmers’ forestland transfer behavior after the reform of forest ownership right, and uses logistic model to regression the forestland transfer behavior and each independent variable. The results showed that: the amount of family labor, the duration of forest land contract, the risk of forest management, the mode of operation before forest reform, the main source of household income, the degree of increase of forestry investment and forestry income, and the different choices of farmers’ influence on the conversion of forestland.