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在西部大开发、中国—东盟合作及“一带一路”建设等多个国家战略叠加推动下,广西经济迅速发展,然而其人口的快速增加、大批临海重化工业项目的建设建成,以及商贸物流业的快速发展使本来就脆弱的生态环境更加恶化。论文在利用生态经济学的能值分析法测度广西不同年份能量流动指标的基础上,以情景模拟的方式,模拟在4种情景下能源消耗模式给广西可持续发展所带来的压力,从组合中找出适合广西经济可持续发展的模式,以此提出相应的政策建议。
Under the superposition of many national strategies such as the western development, China-ASEAN cooperation and the “Belt and Road” construction, Guangxi’s economy has developed rapidly. However, with its rapid population growth, a large number of projects for the construction of the sea-facing heavy and chemical industries have been completed and commerce and trade The rapid development of the logistics industry aggravates the fragile ecological environment. Based on the method of emergy analysis of ecological economics, this paper measures the energy flow index of different years in Guangxi and simulates the pressure that the pattern of energy consumption exerts on the sustainable development of Guangxi in four scenarios by means of scenario simulation. From the combination To find suitable for sustainable economic development in Guangxi model, in order to make the appropriate policy recommendations.