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随着世界经济一体化程度和中韩贸易合作关系的进一步加深,中韩加工贸易在近几年呈现出一定的上升趋势。这对中国的出口增长有一定的影响,间接促进了中国的经济增长。此间,人民币对美元汇率基本上保持升值的状态,人民币的升值增加了外包的成本,这对中韩加工贸易会产生消极的影响;但同时也增加了中国对韩国部分出口产品的需求,间接促进中韩加工贸易的发展。本文将汇率引入至Meliz(2003)的企业异质性模型,建立实证模型来分析汇率变化对中韩加工贸易的影响,并给出合理引导和促进中韩加工贸易与外包业务的总量,进而带动中国经济发展的建议。
With the degree of world economic integration and the further deepening of the trade and economic cooperation between China and South Korea, the processing trade between China and South Korea has shown a certain upward trend in recent years. This has a certain impact on China’s export growth, indirectly boosting China’s economic growth. During this period, the exchange rate between the Renminbi and the U.S. dollar has basically maintained a state of appreciation. The appreciation of the renminbi has increased the cost of outsourcing, which will have a negative impact on the processing trade between China and South Korea. At the same time, it has also increased China’s demand for some of its exports and indirectly promoted The development of processing trade between China and South Korea. This paper introduces the exchange rate into Meliz (2003) ’s enterprise heterogeneity model and establishes an empirical model to analyze the impact of exchange rate changes on the processing trade between China and South Korea. It also gives a reasonable guide and promote the total amount of processing trade and outsourcing business between China and South Korea Advocacy of China’s economic development.