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基于新近发展起来的复杂适应系统理论,建立了流域级的水资源系统整体模型,用于分析研究流域的水资源管理和配置.通过一个整体的模型框架,将水资源系统中水文、生产、生活、生态环境和管理制度等子系统的相互作用通过内生变量进行联接,从而取代以往组合模型仅仅通过计算结果的传递来描述子系统间作用的方式.结合整体模型框架的特点,提出了用于求解这个高纬度的非线性模型的嵌套遗传算法,并应用于黄河流域,分析了南水北调西线工程的合理调水量及其边际效益.
Based on the newly developed theory of complex adaptive systems, the overall model of water resources system at the basin level was established to analyze and study the water resources management and configuration of the river basin. Through a holistic model framework, the hydrology, production and life in the water resources system , Ecological environment and management system and other subsystems through the endogenous variables to join, so as to replace the past combination model only through the transfer of the calculation results to describe the interaction between subsystems.Combined with the characteristics of the overall model framework, proposed for The nested genetic algorithm for solving this high latitude nonlinear model was applied to the Yellow River basin. The reasonable water transfer and its marginal benefit of the Western Route Project of South to North Water Transfer were analyzed.