论文部分内容阅读
通过VAR和VECM框架分析各项财政支出对农村居民消费动态影响,应用DF-GLS检验、KPSS检验、IRF、方差分解等方法研究发现:财政支出中消费性支出、经济建设支出对农村居民消费起到挤出效应,转移支付支出、文教科研支出对农村居民消费起到引致效应。短期内消费性财政支出对农村居民消费影响最为显著,中长期经济建设支出、转移支付支出、文教科研支出则对农村居民消费起到显著影响。
By means of VAR and VECM framework, the paper analyzes the dynamic impact of various financial expenditures on the rural residents’ consumption through the research of DF-GLS test, KPSS test, IRF and variance decomposition. The results show that the expenditures on consumer expenditure and economic construction on rural residents consume To the crowding-out effect, transfer payments, cultural and educational expenditure on rural residents have caused the effect of consumption. In the short term, consumer fiscal expenditure has the most significant impact on the rural residents ’consumption. The expenditure on long-term economic construction, transfer payments and expenditures for cultural, educational research and scientific research have a significant impact on the rural residents’ consumption.