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炸药库一旦发生燃烧爆炸事故,影响将非常恶劣,因此,以其特殊性和危险性成为安全工作的重点。在已有的对炸药库的爆炸事故进行事故树分析法(FTA)定性分析的基础上,采用贝叶斯网络转化的方法,结合优先或门、顺序相关门等动态逻辑门进行爆炸事故树的动态贝叶斯网络转化,建立了相应的动态贝叶斯网络模型,进行了定量的事故分析并得出结论。
In the event of a fire and explosion accident, the impact of the explosive storage depot will be extremely poor. Therefore, with its particularity and danger, it will become the focus of safety work. Based on the analysis of accident tree analysis (FTA) of the explosives in existing explosives depot, the Bayesian network transformation method is used in combination with dynamic logic gates such as priority OR gate and sequential correlation gate to carry out explosion tree Dynamic Bayesian network transformation, the establishment of a corresponding dynamic Bayesian network model, a quantitative analysis of the accident and draw conclusions.