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制度变革的发生是由于存在着制度的非均衡,制度变革会使“制度的决定者”和“制度接受者”的利益发生改变,从而释放出“改革红利”。中国的二元户籍制度带来的一系列的问题使得城市与农村之间的差距越来越大,二元户籍制度同时也带来中国其他方面的二元结构,二元户籍制度所带来的弊端亟待解决。此时制度决定者与制度接受者的矛盾也越来越大,各个利益阶层都在围绕现今户籍制度带来的利益间博弈,这就必然需要户籍制度的改革。本文以最近新公布的城乡户籍制度改革为例,通过制度经济学的方法,来分析户籍制度变革的行为逻辑以及户籍制度变革所带来的改革红利的结果预期。
Institutional change takes place because of the disequilibrium of institutions. Institutional change will change the interests of the determinants of the system and the recipients of the system, so as to release the bonus of reform. China’s dual household registration system brings a series of problems that make the gap between urban and rural areas more and more big. The dual household registration system also brings about the dual structure of other aspects of China. The dual household registration system brings about Disadvantages to be solved. At this moment, the contradictions between the system decision-makers and the system recipients are also getting bigger and bigger. All interest classes are playing games around the interests brought by the current household registration system, which will inevitably require the reform of the household registration system. This article takes the recently announced reform of urban and rural household registration system as an example to analyze the behavioral logic of household registration system reform and the result expectation of reform bonus brought by the change of household registration system through the method of institutional economics.