文章在确认了对于交易所风险具有重要作用的决定性因素的基础上,根据中国证监委的风险监控指标,利用聚类分析得到非正常样本,然后建立了风险预警判别函数,确认了价格波动变化是期货交易所风险最重要的影响因素,并验证了判别函数和分析结果的有效性。 After confirming the decisive factors that play an important role in the risk of the exchange, the article used the cluster analysis to obtain abnormal samples based on the risk monitoring indicators of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and then established a risk early warning discriminant function, confirming that the price fluctuations were The most important influencing factors of futures exchange risk, and verified the validity of discriminant function and analysis result.