通过上海1995年至2010年期间的对外贸易进出口总额和国际集装箱吞吐量数据,建立时间序列模型,对数据进行协整分析、Granger因果模型、脉冲响应分析对国际物流、国际贸易的动态关系进行分析,结果显示国际物流和国际贸易之间是双向因果关系。研究结论对于公共决策具有参考价值。 Through Shanghai’s total import and export volume of foreign trade and international container throughput data from 1995 to 2010, the paper establishes a time series model, performs cointegration analysis on data, Granger causality model and impulse response analysis to the dynamic relationship between international logistics and international trade Analysis, the results show that there is a two-way causal relationship between international logistics and international trade. The conclusion of the study is of reference value to public decision.