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本文运用面板数据模型,选取2003-2010年西部16个地区为研究样本,对地方政府性债务对经济增长的影响进行实证研究。结果发现:地方政府性债务对经济增长的影响并不显著;劳动和资本对经济增长的影响最大,是经济增长的重要源泉,并且劳动增长对经济增长的贡献要远大于资本增长;在我国西部地区,民族区域自治政策对经济增长的影响也不显著。本文还提出相应的政策建议,以合理控制地方政府性债务规模的增长。
In this paper, panel data model is used to select 16 regions in western China from 2003 to 2010 as a sample to make empirical research on the impact of local government debt on economic growth. The results show that the influence of local government debt on economic growth is not significant; labor and capital have the greatest impact on economic growth, which is an important source of economic growth, and the contribution of labor growth to economic growth is much larger than that of capital; in western China Regional and ethnic autonomous policies have no significant effect on economic growth. This article also put forward corresponding policy recommendations to reasonably control the growth of the scale of local government debt.