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水雷打击概率(或水雷引信动作区域性)指水雷引信系统控制水雷在通过雷区的打击舰船有效破坏区域内爆炸的概率,是衡量水雷对目标毁损的能力。水雷引信动作受打击目标种类、通过雷区时舰船航速和航向、水雷使用水深和使用环境等诸多因素影响,但计算打击概率往往将影响因素内取得的所有数据看成对水雷引信动作影响同等水平统一考虑,这种统计方法不能体现出水雷作战使用时对目标打击的实际效果。通过对影响水雷动作的因素进行定性分析、加权计算出水雷打击概率。
The probability of a mine strike (or the minefield of fuze action) is the probability that the mine’s fuze system controls the explosion of a mine in the area of effective destruction of the ship through the minefield and is a measure of the mine’s ability to damage the target. The action of the mine fuze is affected by the type of targets being attacked, the speed and course of the ships passing the minefield, the depth of use of the mine and the environment in which the mine is used. However, calculating the probability of attack often considers all the data obtained in the influencing factors as equal impact on the mine fuze actions Consideration of the level of unity, this statistical method can not reflect the actual use of the mine to combat the actual effect of the target. Through the qualitative analysis of the factors affecting the movement of mines, the weighted probability of mines was calculated.