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我国的积极财政政策从1998年的第二季度启动,到现在已经运行了五年多,在考虑到政策必要的连续性的同时,有必要探讨这个政策应有的相机调整。从大趋势上讲,反周期宏观调控的基本目标一旦达到——这个基本目标达到的主要标志应该是经济运行形成稳定的拐点——那么扩张性政策的淡出就是一种必然的逻辑。我们已经看到中国经济的回升,这在积极财政政策启动以后的第三个年头就表露迹象。进入2003年以后,中国经济的回升又经受住了 SARS 冲击的考验,全年增长速度达9.1%,超出了持续数年“七上八下”的区间,拐点已经形成。2004年第一季度,中国经济以9.7%的速度继续快速增长。企业经济效益进一步提高,对外贸易和利用外资
Our active fiscal policy started in the second quarter of 1998 and has now been in operation for more than five years. While taking into account the necessary continuity of policy, it is necessary to explore the appropriate camera adjustments for this policy. From the general trend, the basic objective of macro-control of the counter-cyclical once it reached - the main target of this basic goal should be the turning point in the formation of a stable economic operation - then the fade out of expansionary policy is a necessary logic. We have seen the rebound in China’s economy, which shows signs for the third year after the pro-active fiscal policy started. Since 2003, the rebound of China’s economy has withstood the test of SARS shock and the annual growth rate has reached 9.1%, exceeding the interval that lasted for several years to “seven or eight”, and the inflection point has been formed. In the first quarter of 2004, China’s economy continued its rapid growth at a rate of 9.7%. Enterprises to further improve economic efficiency, foreign trade and foreign investment