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国际经济中影响最大的因素,还是美国经济的走势。1998年以来,由于欧元的启动过程,导致国际资本的异常运动,以致出现了亚洲金融危机和美国经济与股市的过度繁荣。美国股市飙升美国经济这种过度繁荣必须有三个支撑点,一是必须有足量的国际资本停留在美国市场,以保持美国股市的繁荣和美元的坚挺;二是美国的消费者必须有足够的信心停止储蓄,而把收入投入到股市和消费,形成“财富效应”;三是必须有可不断扩大贸易逆差,以弥补美国国内的总供求缺口。
The most influential factor in the international economy is the trend of the U.S. economy. Since 1998, the start-up process of the euro has led to abnormal movements of international capital, resulting in the Asian financial crisis and the over-prosperity of the U.S. economy and the stock market. US stock market surges This over-prosperity of the U.S. economy must have three support points. First, there must be sufficient international capital to stay in the U.S. market so as to maintain the prosperity of the U.S. stock market and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Second, consumers in the United States must have sufficient Confidence to stop saving, and income into the stock market and consumption, the formation of “wealth effect”; Third, we must continue to expand the trade deficit to make up for the United States domestic supply and demand gap.