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1~7月份,我国固定资产投资增长11.2%,增速分别较上年同期和全年放缓5.8和4.5个百分点,月度之间呈现“跌势明显、近期趋稳”的态势。展望下半年后几个月,投资重大工程包扩围、盘活存量财政资金、房地产市场回暖、金融服务实体经济能力增强等,将是稳投资的重要因素。但是,企业自主投资意愿不强、地方政府及融资平台投资能力受限、PPP模式实质性进展较慢、资金尚未有效流入实体经济等因素,仍将困扰着投资形势好转。综合判断,全年固定资产投资增速有望达到12%左右,制造业投资和房地产开发投资低增速,基础设施投资高增速。建议加快推进重点项目建设、加快推进PPP模式、降低长期融资成本以及深化投资审批制度改革。
From January to July, the investment in fixed assets in our country increased by 11.2%, with the growth rate slowing 5.8% and 4.5% respectively over the same period of last year and the whole year, showing the trend of “declining obviously and stabilizing recently” in the monthly. Looking forward to the second half of the second half of the year, major projects will be expanded, capital stock will be revitalized, the real estate market will be warmer, financial services and other real economic capabilities will be an important factor in stabilizing investment. However, the weak willingness of enterprises to invest autonomously, the limited investment capacity of local governments and financing platforms, the substantive progress of the PPP model and the fact that capital has not yet effectively flowed into the real economy will continue to plague the investment situation to turn around. Comprehensive judgments, the annual growth rate of investment in fixed assets is expected to reach about 12%, manufacturing investment and real estate development investment in low growth, high growth in infrastructure investment. Proposed to accelerate the construction of key projects, accelerate the PPP model, reduce long-term financing costs and deepen the reform of investment examination and approval system.