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《地壳构造物理学》(Tectonophysics)2012年第562-563卷刊登了题为《Whyearthquake hazard maps often fail and whatto do about it,为什么地震危险性图经常失败以及我们可以为此做些什么》的文章,该文指出,近代历史上3个最大、最致命的地震都发生在地震危险性图没有预测出大地震的地方,作者研究了危险性图无法预测这些地震的原因,探讨了改进危险性图的方法。
Tectonophysics 2012, Volumes 562-563, published an article entitled “Whyearthquake hazard maps often fail and whatto do about it, why Earthquake Hazard Charts often fail, and what we can do about it.” , The paper points out that the three largest and fatal earthquakes in modern history occurred in the earthquake hazard map did not predict the place of the earthquake, the author studied the danger map can not predict the causes of these earthquakes, explored the improvement of the risk map Methods.