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基于城镇化与城市林业发展水平评价指标体系,分别采用主成分分析方法和模糊数学方法对二者的发展水平指数以及发展协调度进行了计算。结果表明:北京市城镇化和城市林业均呈现快速发展趋势,分别在2004-2005和2003-2004年实现跨越式发展,二者的发展水平指数在2004年后保持了逐步协调的趋势;北京市城镇化与城市林业发展水平的协调度总体呈现不断优化的过程,先后经历了中级协调、良好协调以及优质协调等环节,可划分为相对波动阶段(2000-2005年)和相对稳定阶段(2005-2014年)。提出以下政策建议:进一步加强城市林业法制化和信息化建设,注重增强城市林业的公众参与深度和广度,同时做好城市林业发展和国家宏观政策的对接工作;在后续的研究中注意时间和空间上的全面分析,加深对二者协调发展的科学认知。
Based on the evaluation index system of urbanization and urban forestry development level, principal component analysis and fuzzy mathematics are respectively used to calculate the index of development level and the degree of development coordination. The results show that both urbanization and urban forestry in Beijing show a rapid development trend. They achieved leapfrog development in 2004-2005 and 2003-2004, respectively, and the index of their level of development maintained a gradual and coordinated trend after 2004. The coordination between urbanization and urban forestry development shows an overall process of continuous optimization. It has successively experienced mid-level coordination, good coordination and high-quality coordination and other links. It can be divided into relatively fluctuating phases (2000-2005) and relatively stable phases (2005-2006) Year 2014). Put forward the following policy recommendations: To further strengthen the legalization of urban forestry and information construction, focus on enhancing the depth and breadth of public participation in urban forestry, while doing a good job docking urban forestry development and national macroeconomic policies; pay attention to the time and space in the follow-up study Comprehensive analysis, deepen their scientific understanding of the coordinated development of the two.