近期农资市场价格波动引起了政府和社会的广发关注,本文研究以2010-2011年化肥类主要商品价格为例,针对化肥这一重要农资商品的价格波动特征和趋势进行研究。研究结论显示,今年下半年我国化肥类主要商品价格将出现持续上涨趋势,可能将对农业生产产生一定的负面影响。本文的最后,提出相关策建议。 Recently, the fluctuation of agricultural market price has aroused the attention of the government and society. This paper studies the characteristics and trends of the price volatility of fertilizer, an important agricultural commodity, taking the major fertilizer prices in 2010-2011 as an example. The conclusion of the study shows that the price of major chemical fertilizers in China will continue to rise in the second half of this year, which may have some negative impacts on agricultural production. At the end of this article, we put forward some suggestions.