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本文首先分析了金融集聚和产业结构演进两者的交互作用对地区出口技术复杂度的影响机制,并在此基础上提出了相关的命题假说。继而利用2003-2014年我国的省际面板数据,对地区的金融集聚、产业结构演进以及出口技术复杂度分别进行测算,并运用静态、动态面板模型对命题假说进行实证检验。研究发现,金融的集聚发展有利于产业结构向合理化和高级化的方向演进,进而带动地区出口技术复杂度的升级。基于上述发现,本文针对经济新常态下我国外贸发展方式的转型升级提出了相应的对策建议。
This paper first analyzes the impact mechanism of the interaction between financial agglomeration and industrial structure evolution on the technical complexity of regional exports, and on this basis, puts forward the related proposition hypothesis. Then we use the inter-provincial panel data from 2003 to 2014 in our country to measure the regional financial agglomeration, the evolution of industrial structure and the technical complexity of export respectively. The static and dynamic panel models are used to empirically test the propositional hypothesis. The study finds that the development of the agglomeration of finance is conducive to the evolution of the industrial structure towards rationalization and high-levelization, which in turn promotes the upgrading of the technical complexity of regional exports. Based on the above findings, this paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions for the transformation and upgrading of China’s foreign trade development mode under the new economic normal.