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在分析了当代人口增长、资源环境态势与地球科学发展历史及地球科学研究发展趋势后指出 ,从人口、资源、环境、发展角度分析 ,2 1世纪地球科学研究将沿三大科学领域转变 :即由研究地球系统演化历史向研究地球系统过去、现在与未来的方向转变 ;由向地球系统索取各种自然资源为主 ,向以保护地球系统各种自然资源为主的方向转变 ;由研究地球系统天然地质作用及其产物向研究天然地质作用及其产物与研究人为地质作用及其产物并重的方向转变。从而提出 2 1世纪地球科学可能将沿着理论地球科学、管理地球科学和人为地球科学三大科学研究领域发展 ,并对中国社会经济可持续发展中地球科学创新体系作了探讨。
After analyzing the current population growth, the situation of resources and environment, the history of earth science development and the development trend of earth science research, it is pointed out from the perspective of population, resources, environment and development that earth science research in the 21st century will shift along three major scientific fields: From studying the evolution of the Earth system to studying the past, present and future directions of the Earth system; from obtaining various natural resources to the Earth system and shifting from mainly natural resources to protecting the Earth system; Natural geology and its products to the study of natural geological effects and their products and research on the role of human geology and its products and the direction of change. It is proposed that earth sciences in the 21st century may develop along the three major scientific fields of theoretical geosciences, management of earth sciences and artificial earths sciences, and discuss the innovation system of geosciences in China’s social and economic sustainable development.