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本文结合理论层面分析产业集聚对城镇化内在作用机理,采用系统GMM估计方法,利用2004—2013年我国30个省市(自治区)面板数据,实证分析产业集聚对我国城镇化的异质性影响。实证结果表明:我国仍处于以制造业集聚主导城镇化发展的阶段,服务业集聚对城镇化的促进作用并没有显现;而服务业细分行业集聚对城镇化的影响也各不相同,生产性服务业集聚和消费性服务业集聚显著促进城镇化发展,但公共性服务业集聚对城镇化发展为负的显著性。
Based on the theoretical analysis of the inherent mechanism of industrial agglomeration on urbanization, this paper uses the method of systematic GMM estimation and the panel data of 30 provinces (autonomous regions) in China from 2004 to 2013 to empirically analyze the heterogeneity of industrial agglomeration on urbanization in China. The empirical results show that: our country is still in the stage of dominant urban agglomeration development with agglomeration of manufacturing industry, and the role of service agglomeration in promoting urbanization does not appear; while the agglomeration of service sub-industries has different impacts on urbanization, Agglomeration of service industry and agglomeration of consumer service industry significantly promote the development of urbanization, but the agglomeration of public service industry is negatively negative for urbanization.