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本文利用交通运输业、邮电业、商业、餐饮业、住宿业以及社会服务业这6个行业面板数据,在揭示2005年至2014年30个省(市、区)旅游业碳排放总量与强度的时空动态变化关系时,借助LMDI法分解出影响我国旅游业碳排放增加量的关键因素。研究结果表明:1旅游业碳排放总量在时间上呈逐年上升趋势,且中、西部地区增长速度要显著高于东部地区;2旅游业碳排放强度在时间上呈逐年递减趋势,且中、西部地区下降速度要显著低于东部地区;3影响我国旅游业碳排放增加量的关键因素取决于经济产出因子(TEO)、接待人次因子(TP)、行业结构因子(TIS)、能源效率因子(TEE)、能源结构因子(TES)5个方面,前两者为增量因子,后三者为减量因子。
In this paper, we use panel data of six industries such as transportation, post and telecommunications, commerce, catering, accommodation and social services to reveal the total amount and intensity of tourism carbon emissions in 30 provinces (cities and districts) from 2005 to 2014 , The key factor that affects the increase of China’s tourism carbon emissions is decomposed by the LMDI method. The results show that: 1 The total amount of tourism carbon emissions in the tourism industry shows an upward trend year by year, and the growth rates of the middle and western regions are significantly higher than those in the eastern regions; 2 The intensity of tourism carbon emissions shows a trend of decreasing year by year, The declining speed in western China is significantly lower than that in eastern China.3 The key factors that affect the increase of China’s tourism carbon emissions are determined by economic output factor (TEO), hospitality factor (TP), industry structure factor (TIS), energy efficiency factor (TEE) and energy structure factor (TES). The first two are incremental factors, the latter three are reduction factors.