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采用二元边际分析方法,以中国对美国出口的5000多种6位码贸易数据为分析对象,将中国制造业细分部门的出口分解成深度增长与广度增长,同时对最具代表性的高、低技术组制造业的价格效应、数量效应及贸易条件之间的关系和发展趋势进行深入分析。结果发现,技术要素在决定部门出口产品种类、价格、质量及贸易条件方面起到重要作用,其中非体现式技术进步(研发、专利数量)对二元边际增长效应最大。国内因素包括部门对就业的吸纳程度、资本相对劳动的偏向性增长、人均工资及产业规模等更大程度地通过影响出口的深度增长来提升出口生产效率,对广度增长影响的显著性并不明显。
By using the binary marginal analysis method and taking more than 5000 kinds of 6-digit trade data exported by China to the United States as the analysis object, the export of China’s manufacturing subdivision sector is decomposed into the growth of growth and the breadth of growth. At the same time, the most representative high , Low-tech manufacturing sector price effect, the number of effects and trade conditions between the relationship and development trends in-depth analysis. The results showed that technical factors played an important role in determining the types of export products exported by the departments, prices, quality and terms of trade. Non-embodied technological advances (research and development, the number of patents) had the strongest effect on the growth of the dual marginal growth. Domestic factors include the extent to which departments absorb employment, the relative growth of capital relative to labor, per capita wages and industrial scale, etc. to a greater extent to enhance export production efficiency by affecting the deep growth of exports. The significance of the impact on the growth of breadth is not obvious .