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本文利用2000～2007年山东省17个地区的相关数据分析分析消费习惯、收入、购房支出、医疗、教育支出、收入波动及利率等因素对消费的影响。实证结果表明,消费习惯对当期消费的影响最大,东、中部地区居民消费稳定性高于西部地区;消费的收入弹性随地区的不发达程度递增;购房支出对东部地区居民消费有正的影响,对中西部地区居民消费有负的影响;教育、医疗保健支出挤占了其它项目的消费支出,且这种影响对东、中、西部地区依次增强。
Based on the data of 17 regions in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2007, this paper analyzes the influence of consumption habits, income, house purchase expenses, medical treatment, education expenditure, income fluctuation and interest rate on consumption. The empirical results show that the consumption habits have the greatest impact on the current consumption, the stability of residents’ consumption in the eastern and central regions is higher than that in the western regions, the income elasticity of consumption increases with the degree of underdevelopment, the purchase expenditure has a positive impact on the consumption of residents in the eastern region, Which had a negative impact on the consumption of residents in the central and western regions. Expenditure on education and healthcare squeezed the spending on other items, and the impact on the eastern, central and western regions in turn increased.