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研究南疆铁路沿线五地州的近18a以来的城镇化进程及其发展变化情况。从城市化水平分析了五地州的城镇发展状况;同时,详细查阅南疆铁路沿线五地州1990-2007年的统计数据,选取适合该地区的综合城市化水平测量指标后,利用SPSS统计学软件,采用回归分析方法,建立了非农业人口及总人口随年份变化的回归方程,陈述了该地区城镇化发展特征,分析了该地区城镇化发展的限制因素;在对总人口及非农业人口的变化进行预测的基础上对南疆铁路沿线地区将来20a的城镇化发展进行拟预测和分析,最后拟提出加快该地区社会经济发展而促进城镇化快速、持续、全面发展的建议。
This paper studies the urbanization process and its development and changes since the past 18 years in five states along the South Xinjiang Railway. From the level of urbanization, the author analyzes the urban development in the five prefectures and regions. In the meantime, the statistical data of five prefectures and cities along the South Xinjiang Railway from 1990 to 2007 are analyzed in detail. After selecting the comprehensive urbanization level measurement indicators suitable for the area, Software, regression analysis was used to establish the regression equation of non-agricultural population and total population with the change of years. The characteristics of urbanization in this area were stated, and the limiting factors of urbanization in this area were analyzed. In the total population and non-agricultural population Based on the prediction of the changes in the area along South Xinjiang Railway in the future, it is planned to predict and analyze the urbanization in the future20a. Finally, it is proposed to put forward the proposal of accelerating the social and economic development of the area to promote the rapid, sustained and comprehensive urbanization.