根据新疆克孜尔水库安全鉴定存在问题初步分析水库主要溃坝模式,并根据已确定的溃坝模式,分别计算水库除险加固前和除险加固后的溃坝概率,绘制加固前后的社会风险图和加固前后的经济风险图,并对其进行初步分析。 Based on the existing problems of Kizil reservoir safety appraisal in Xinjiang, the primary dam failure mode of the reservoir was analyzed. Based on the established dam failure modes, the probabilities of dam failure before and after reinforcement were calculated, and the social risk before and after reinforcement Figure and before and after reinforcement of the economic risk map, and its preliminary analysis.