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1 农业气象灾害预警技术研究2002年是“十五”国家科技攻关计划项目“农林重大病虫害和农业气象灾害的预警及控制技术研究”之第13课题(编号:2001BA509813)实质性研究的一年,在收集资料、田问试验和模型研制等方面取得了较好的阶段性进展。年内广泛收集了环流、海温、气候及田间试验等各类资料。开展了干旱对小麦影响盆栽试验和油菜盆栽淹水试验,并在荔枝和香蕉园建立自动气象站,进行小气候观测。初步研制出4种灾害的长期统计预测模型和华南寒害短期数值天气预报模式,建立了基于东北玉米、华北小麦和夏玉米以及江淮小麦、油菜生长过程的动态模拟模式,探讨了实现作物模型区域化的方法,开展了区域气候模式与东北下垫面嵌套,生成作物模式所需预报值的方法试验。
1 Agricultural Meteorological Disaster Early Warning Technology Research 2002 is a year of substantive research on the 13th issue (No. 2001BA509813) of “Research on Early Warning and Control Technology for Major Pests, Diseases and Pests and Agrometeorological Disasters in the Tenth Five-year National Science and Technology Research Project” In the collection of information, field test and model development has made good progress in stages. A wide range of information was collected during the year, including circulation, SST, climate and field trials. A pot experiment with drought on wheat and pot flooding experiments were conducted, and an automatic weather station was set up in litchi and banana plantations for microclimate observation. The long-term statistical prediction model of four disasters and the short-term numerical weather forecasting model of cold damage in South China were preliminarily developed. The dynamic simulation model based on the growth of northeast corn, north China wheat and summer maize, and Jianghuai wheat and rapeseed was established. Regionalization of crop model , A methodological experiment has been carried out to establish the forecast value required for the crop pattern by fitting the regional climate model with the underlying surface of northeast China.