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最近本刊在浙江省义乌市主办了中国经济论坛,可谓群贤毕至,少长成集。正如全国政协副主席王文元在论坛上所说,在“入世”后第一年我国出口取得出人意料的好成绩的背景下,选择义乌这个全国著名的小商品商贸城作为论坛的主办地具有一定的特殊意义。义乌的所见所闻是令人欢欣鼓舞的,但也勾起了我脑海中一个长久的疑虑:难道这一切已经证明了经济上比较优势战略的彻底胜利了吗?仅靠眼前这种发展模式虽然可以富甲一地,让一部分国民走向小康,但可以让一个国家走向全面富裕吗?特别是,仅靠这些劳动密集型、低附加值的工业制成品可以支撑起一个大国的强大和持久的发展吗?长久以来,经济学中的比较优势理论超乎寻常地受到经济学家的偏爱,甚至痴迷。记得一位经济学大师曾说,比较优势理论是经济学中最美丽的构想。与此相反,由于计划经济的没落,大多社会主义国家建立初期所实施赶超战略遭到新潮的经济学家毫不留情地抨击和嘲笑。其中,最著名的代表人物是林毅夫先生。在他和蔡昉、李周共同著作的《中国的奇迹:
Recently, this magazine hosted the China Economic Forum in Yiwu City, Zhejiang Province. As Wang Wenyuan, vice chairman of the CPPCC National Committee, said at the forum, under the background of unexpected good results in the first year after China’s accession to the WTO, the well-known commodity trading city of Yiwu is selected as the host of the forum. Special meaning What I see and hear in Yiwu is encouraging, but it also arouses a long-standing suspicion in my mind: have all this proved the complete victory of the economic comparative advantage strategy? Only by this immediate development model While it is possible to get rich and get a part of the people well-off, can a country move towards full prosperity? In particular, these labor-intensive, low-value-added manufactured goods can only support the power and durability of a large nation For a long time, the theory of comparative advantage in economics was exceptionally favored and even obsessed by economists. I remember a master of economics once said that comparative advantage theory is the most beautiful concept in economics. On the contrary, economists who have been trendy in the early days of the establishment of the majority of socialist countries have mercilessly criticized and ridiculed the decline of the planned economy. Among them, the most famous representative is Mr. Lin Yifu. In his co-authored paper with Cai Yong and Li Zhou, "The Miracle of China: