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在环境库兹涅茨曲线的基础上,通过VAR分析方法,从实证的角度揭示了辽宁省1978-2009年碳排量、能源消耗同经济增长之间的动态关系,通过广义脉冲反应分析,得出不同于以往的“N”型EKC曲线.Granger因果检验表明,辽宁省持续提升的GDP不断刺激碳排放量和能源消耗量的增加,但环境变化却不是推动省内经济增长的重要变量.辽宁目前的环境质量正随着经济的增长而恶化,环境质量的提升问题亟待解决.
Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve, the dynamic relationship between carbon emissions and energy consumption and economic growth in Liaoning Province from 1978 to 2009 was revealed empirically through VAR analysis. By generalized impulse response analysis, Different from the previous “N ” type EKC curve.Granger causality test shows that Liaoning Province continued to increase GDP continue to stimulate increased carbon emissions and energy consumption, but environmental change is not an important variable to promote economic growth in the province The current environmental quality in Liaoning is deteriorating with economic growth, and the issue of improving environmental quality needs to be solved urgently.