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以研究人口转移的“推拉理论”为基础,通过构建扩展的动态搜索模型,将农产品价格作为影响农村劳动力转移决策的核心推力要素进行动态分析,研究结果表明:在现有技术条件下,存在农产品保留价格P*,在农产品市场价格低于P*时,农村劳动力转移进入城镇寻找工作的意愿增强;反之,意愿减弱。因此,在农产品价格市场化对农产品价格本身形成下行压力时,合理的市场化改革势必会对当前城镇化进程形成一定的正向促进作用。
Based on the “push-pull theory” of population transfer, this paper constructs an extended dynamic search model to dynamically analyze the price of agricultural products as the core thrust factor in the decision-making of rural labor force transfer. The results show that under the current technical conditions, When the market price of agricultural products is lower than P *, the willingness of the rural labor force to migrate into cities and towns to seek employment is enhanced; on the contrary, the will to be weakened. Therefore, when the marketization of agricultural products exerts downward pressure on the prices of agricultural products, a reasonable market-oriented reform is bound to play a positive role in promoting the process of urbanization.